Iraq After ISIS: What To Do Now
Russia–US Relations and the Future of Syria The terrorist attacks in Spain have shown that ISIS is able to spread through the power of its ideology. Tags. Results 1 - 20 of 80 U.S. policy needs to change quickly to meet the evolving threat, both in . Recent diplomatic meetings signal an improvement in relations. U.S. Relations With Iraq States assisted Iraq's efforts to achieve the December milestone of liberating all of Iraqi territory from ISIS.
Although the Chinese People's Liberation Army PLA has been undergoing a process of modernization since the early s, its actual fighting capabilities, as well as logistics, coordination and intelligence, remain unclear; it has not fought a real war in recent decades.
This would be a very important step, given that Beijing has national and economic interests in the region. This is a higher level of Chinese pro-activism in foreign and defense policy and a broader definition of PRC national interests toward its periphery than has characterized Beijing's approach during most of the reform era.
Moreover, the new Silk Road initiative will help Beijing reduce its reliance on the western transfer road, which currently creates strategic vulnerability for Chinese trade and energy security.
This new Silk Road project would allow China to lock in energy supply from the Central Asian energy-exporting countries. It would also allow it to secure and improve supply routes for its oil imports and ameliorate the potential effects of supply cuts from the Middle East, Africa or Russia.
Third, if Beijing fights against the Islamic State, it will contribute to strengthening China's global leadership role and regional image as a responsible power.
The Obama administration has been critical of late of Beijing's reluctance to get involved in international-security issues, given its expanding global interests. President Obama accuses China of being a "free rider for the past 30 years," not doing enough in terms of its responsibility for international security while importing oil and other resources from places like Iraq.
Accordingly, the Obama administration might abandon its "pivot to Asia" and shift its attention and resources back to the Middle East. In consequence, China's rising interest would probably be seen as a less pressing threat to U. The military campaign against ISIS can be a strategic opportunity for China to strengthen its engagement and intervention in the Asia-Pacific region. The worldwide campaign against the Islamic State gives the Chinese government the perfect excuse to take a hardline response to the ethnic unrest among Uighurs in Xinjiang.
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Both have pledged to forge a new type of great-power relationship, but this effort has largely focused on strengthening bilateral cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region.
Washington and Beijing have major economic interests in the Middle East that are nearly perfectly aligned, and thus a common interest in combating Islamist terrorism in the Middle East. The limited scope of the military campaign against ISIS, as demonstrated by President Obama's pledge not to pursue another ground war,42 allows the Chinese government to feel comfortable supporting restricted military action.
Should Beijing join the U. S coalition and fight against the Islamic State? Currently, Beijing will probably stick to its traditional noninterventionist foreign policy and is unlikely to actively support the U.
At most, China will provide quiet diplomatic support. The Chinese government is reluctant to become heavily involved in military actions against ISIS in the Middle East, as everywhere else in the world, for a number of reasons. First, Beijing's reluctance to fight the Islamic State directly or participate in a military campaign against ISIS stems from its distrust of Washington and Western intentions.
Traditionally, Chinese policy has strongly opposed the U. China suspects that efforts by Washington or the West to encourage it to enter into a military campaign against the Islamic State are motivated by a desire to contain China's global ambitions, weaken its military and economic power, and undermine the Communist regime.
The Chinese government is annoyed and disappointed with the Obama administration's criticism of Beijing's hardline response to ethnic unrest among Uighurs in Xinjiang.
The Taliban in Afghanistan pose a more serious threat to China's national security than the Islamic State, but the government response has been limited in scale.
Turkey Is Lying About Fighting ISIS
Beijing prefers to let NATO lead the campaign against the Taliban, while China engages in energy investments in Afghanistan and refuses to allow even non-military supplies to pass through Xinjiang to those NATO forces. If China, as stated previously, is providing behind-the-scenes aid to Iraq in its airstrikes against ISIS, this would mark a significant change in Chinese noninterventionist foreign policy in the Middle East.
Although China is unlikely to actively join the U. The Chinese approach to the Islamic State is a very significant indicator of a modification of its foreign policy. As President Xi Jinping said, China must establish "big country diplomacy with Chinese characteristics" to make the nation a major strategic power. This is difficult to predict.
China believes that in addition to its support for countering ISIS, others must take an active role. The United Nations and the Security Council should play a leading role in the global war on terrorism, including military actions. December 28,2: It was not, of course, the intemperate tweets that I was applauding, but the willingness of the Trump administration to bring public pressure on Ankara over a variety of issues—whether the arrest and unjust imprisonment of American citizens, the targeting of journalists, the intention to buy advanced weapons from Russia, or the threats at U.
When Andrew Brunson, a North Carolina pastor who had been in Turkish custody for two years, was released in October, it confirmed for me that playing hardball with Turkey was superior to the intensive private diplomacy that previous administrations had tried with Ankara.
Life moves pretty fast, though. Turkey has apparently gone from antagonist to partner in just a few months. The two leaders have had two phone calls in 10 days. Can Erdogan live up to his apparent commitments?
China's Middle East Policy: The ISIS Factor | Middle East Policy Council
It is not at all clear that he will—but not because Turkey is not capable. Rather, even though the United States and Turkey seem to have patched up their differences, their interests in Syria do not actually align.
No one is certain why Trump decided on Dec. On the long list of issues that have divided the United States and Turkey, the biggest problem has been the American military relationship with the YPG.
The PKK, designated as a terrorist group by both the Washington and Ankara, has been waging a violent campaign against Turkey since the s. The understandably outraged Turks feared that the United States was midwifing a terrorist state on its border. That is all over now, which is why Trump will be feted in Turkey in This renewed American-Turkish alignment will in turn render Erdogan a willing partner to contain Iran.
Yes, one of the justifications for having U. Often during the Obama era when there was tension between Washington and Ankara, Erdogan or other high-ranking Turkish officials would show up in Tehran praising the Iranian leadership and even providing cover for its nuclear activities. This was all an effort to compel the United States to drop whatever issue was making Washington unhappy with Turkey at the time.
What makes anyone think that the United States leaving Syria will prompt the Turks to turn on Iran is a mystery. The president later amended this claim, declaring that Turkey would finish the job begun by U.